Monday, November 30, 2009

VIEWS OF SPANDAN JOSHI Mirage 1.3

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Spandan Joshi <joshispandan@yahoo.co.uk>
Date: 30 Nov 2009 04:36
Subject: Mirage 1.3

Dear all,

 

Mirage Version 1.3

====================

29/11/2009

================

 

Where are we?

===============

I firmly believe that we have completed B-C-4 (Downfall)

 

This lasted for 2 weeks and taken us to 15330, a fall of 2163 points

from 17493.

 

The fifth wave has two targets

 

123% and 162%

 

They come to 17990 and 18834

 

Previously, under very first presentation of Mirage, I gave rough

target of 17493 to 18115. However precise targets can only be given

when wave gets completed.

 

Indeed this is my main scenario.

 

As per our main scenario, we may have completed B-C-5-2

 

5th wave is an up move as we have moved up from 15330 to 17200, already 1870 points.

 

This was probably the first wave called 5-1. The second wave has retraced 980 points to 16219. That is a 52% downfall to the 1st wave. With that I feel 2nd wave may be over by now, unless we break 16219 again. We may see 5-3 firing in upward direction. If that is a right direction and a count (Primary count) then we shall see 17806 as a 162% up move to the fall of 980 points.

 

The target comes to 17806 as per B-C-5-3

================================== ===============================================

However there are still small chances of Rally terminating below 17200. That will be our secondary scenario. For that to happen two conditions must be fulfilled.

 

1 We mustn't close above 17200 decisively.

2 We must break 16219 first followed by 15330 next.

 

Unless that happens, primary wave count should be followed by our model. If the above happens, one may consider as a 5th wave failure.

 

Strategy?

===========

Not to trade/Buy can be a good idea. Watch it out for above findings. Of course over 17200 and 17493, one may prefer to buy only for ST trade. Sporadic buying opportunities can be picked up as and when in the mean time.

 

Wish you all a good luck.

 

Regards

 

Spandan Joshi

Saturday, November 28, 2009

SENSEX

LOOK AT CHART
************************************************************************
UPDATE AS ON 30.11.09

WE GOT RESISTED EXACTLY AT UPPER TRENDLINE OF DOWNWARD CHANNEL.

***************************************************************************
UPDATE AS ON 1.12.09

WE HAVE COME OUT FROM DOWNWARD CHANNEL , A BULLISH SIGN

Thursday, November 26, 2009

10000 hits !

Dear Friends,

blog has crossed 10,000 hits.i recall when i had given title of 5000 hits in 3 months time KPR misunderstood and thought it was call for nifty and see nifty has also crossed 5k mark during this 3 months time.

if u have observed i am having some problem with my system in saving and pasting charts for blog. size gets reduced. so i am not putting charts since few days.very soon i will sort the problem.

market has broken trendline running from 15331 after consuming 1.618% time in recovering 1960 points after a fall of 2162 points.first imp low was arnd 17k and that is gone today.next immediate imp low is at 16636.

fibo lvls r 16542/16311 and 16080 for 38.2/50 and 61.8% of rise of 1960 points.
so better to keep strict stop losses on long positions. new long positions shd be avoided at present for few days.let mkt settle.

one more change i have planned and following also since few days after reading few mails at isg from Spandan and other friends. i had observed that by tracking sensex regularly readers as well as me were getting carried away by observations on sensex and that always affects yr decisions for buying n selling stocks. patterns for stock and sensex may be different.so i have minimised analysis of sensex and i am increasing analysis of stocks.i have started giving stop loss only while analysing stock. for target u have to observe yrself and go on raising yr stop loss as well as target.

for simple analysis better to follow 1-2-3 system. i will discuss this pattern with help of chart in detail in few days .


i thank u all for yr kind support and encouragement!

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

BILT






BUT BILT ABOVE 24.25 WITH STOP LOSS AT 21.5

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

TINPLATE




BUY TINPLATE ABOVE 61 WITH STOP LOSS BELOW 57.

Monday, November 16, 2009

SENSEX AT 80% RETRACEMENT LVL 17061




 we have just completed 80% retracement of fall from 17493 to 15331. if we cross this lvl decisively we can move up for new highs otherwise if we reverse from here we can see correction

Saturday, November 14, 2009

sensex



**********************************************************
UPDATE ON 16.11.09 AT 11.00 AM
WE R VERY CLOSE TO 80% RETRACEMENT LEVEL 17061 OF FALL FROM 17493 TO 15331. ON CROSSING THIS LEVEL ONLY MKT CAN GO FOR NEW HIGH OTHER WISE WE CAN SEE CORRECTION.
WATCH FROM SIDE LINES FOR SOME TIME AND ACT AS PER FURTHER MOVES

Thursday, November 12, 2009

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

MOTHERSON SUMI


look at chart


******************
UPDATE AS ON 16.11.09 12.45 PM

MOTHERSON IS TRADING AT 138.8 AFTER MAKING ATOP OF 143+
BOOK PROFITS

MARKET?





comments on chart



Monday, November 9, 2009

RETRACEMENT OVER?


on 3.11.09 we had shown in chart that we can see a strong bounce from here and market has bounced by 1186 points so far.
 
what next ?
 
i have shown 2 more charts.
 
in 5 day chart i have shown small sub wave counts of upmove from 15331 to 16517 which follows fibo nos accurately.more over -ve divergence is also seen there. of course correction in prices is to be seen yet.
 
in a weekly chart we have reached today at critical resistance as shown in weekly charts.
 
so it is time to be cautious in long positions taken at lower levels.61.8% resistance level is at 16667 very close to prev low level of 16606.
 
Pankaj Shah

Saturday, November 7, 2009

ZANDU PHARMA, MONSANTO, WARREN TEA

CHARTS OF ZANDU PHARMA, MONSANTO AND WARREN TEA ARE ATTCHED.


**********************
UPDATE ON 27.11.09

WARREN TEA HAS CLOSED TODAY AROUND 220.

CHEERS!

******************************
UPDATE ON 6.1.2010
MONSANTO 1800+
ZANDU HAS GIVEN EMAMI SHARES SO VERY GOOD RETURNS FOR ZANDU SHARE HOLDERS

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

SENSEX


COMMENTS ON CHART



*************************************************************************
UPDATE AS ON 7.11.09
AS PER EXPECTATION WE HAVE SEEN GOOD BOUNCE IN LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. WE HAVE CROSSED 38.2% LEVEL AND AFTER TESTING 16283 WE HAVE CLOSED EXACTLY AT 38.2% LEVEL.PROFIT BOOKING SHD BE DONE IN BUYING DONE AT LOWER LEVELS.

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

SENSEX AS ON 3.11.09

LOOK AT CHART ATTACHED.
************************************************************************
UPDATE AT 4.50 P.M. ON 4.11.09

CHEERS !

MARKET UP BY MORE THAN 500POINTS AS PER EXPECTED AND SHOWN IN CHART!

WAKE UP BEAR!

this mail was sent on 9/10/09.

we saw reversal from 16/10/09


http://pankaj564.blogspot.com/2009/10/wake-up-bear.html